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Baseball Analysts

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Putting Together a Reality Team

6.února
Fantasy baseball has been a popular pastime for 30 years. Unfortunately, there tends to be too much "fantasy" and not enough dealing with the nitty-gritty reality of what it takes to fill a well-rounded roster at the major league level. Depending on how drafts are arranged (such as just 12 or 14 owners picking from both leagues), the fantasy baseball process can lend itself to assembling a collection of higher-level players rather than a 25-man roster of diverse talents and skill levels, and de…

Historical Hall of Fame Vote Comparisons: 2012

11.ledna
For the past two years I have written a post taking a graphical look at Hall of Fame vote histories for players with similar first-year vote totals to players on the current year's ballot. Here is 2010 's, which includes a description of the graphs, and here is 2011 's. As I said these graphs are not meant as sophisticated projection into the future, but rather just a rough look at historical precedent. Folks like Chris Jaffe of the Hardball Times have a better handle on the dynamics of HoF vot…

An All-Christmas Team

24.prosince
Anyone who was born on or within a few days of Christmas has sad tales to share of feeling cheated by "one gift for two days" childhood presents. What kind of treats have been given to fans on December 25? This roster of Christmas babies includes three Hall of Famers along with a smattering of All-Stars and everyday players. No need to save the best for last, as the All-Christmas team appropriately leads off with Rickey Henderson (born 1958) in left field. His career numbers - 1410 stolen bases…

The New-Look Angels

9.prosince
The news that the Los Angeles Angels signed Albert Pujols to a ten-year contract for $250 million has motivated me to put up my first post in a month. While I would have preferred a shorter and less expensive contract, anything less than ten years and $250 million was not going to seal the deal. As such, the way to think about this signing from an Angels' perspective is to break it into two five-year periods. That's right, 5x30 and 5x20 for an average of 10x25. Sure, 5x25 and 5x15 might be clos…

John Denny: The Forgotten Cy Young Award Winner

10.října
A friend of mine, Ross Moskowitz, is the director of Camp Westmont, a beautiful summer camp in the Pocono Mts. of Pennsylvania. It's the kind of place every kid should be able to attend at least once in their lives. He's also a baseball man. Played Division One NCAA baseball at the University of Maryland. So when he told me that John Denny was going to be his baseball instructor this past summer, I thought it would make for a very interesting story/interview. How does a good pitcher become the …

Money Isn't Everything

8.října
No Boston Red Sox. No New York Yankees. No Philadelphia Phillies. The three highest payrolls in Major League Baseball failed to make the final four. In fact, seven of the top ten teams didn't even make the postseason. With the Yankees losing the ALDS to the Detroit Tigers yesterday and the Phillies falling short to the Cardinals this evening, none of the top nine payrolls are still alive and well. As shown below, the 10th, 11th, 13th, and 17th highest payroll teams remain the hunt to win the Wo…

What Would It Take to Hit .400 in the 21st Century?

20.září
Ted Williams hit .406 in 1941, making him the last player to reach or exceed the .400 level over a full season. Hall of Famers Rod Carew (.388 in 1977), George Brett (.390 in 1980) and Tony Gwynn (.394 during the strike-shortened 1994 season) were the only serious contenders since then, which raises a logical question: Has hitting .400 become baseball's impossible dream? Obviously, a player would need to catch every possible break to reach this ultimate achievement today. Four factors have turn…

Halos Heaven

8.září
I went to the Angels-White Sox game last night and sat in the first row behind the home team's dugout. If you had your choice of any seats in the stadium, the ones that my friend Glen, brother Tom, and son Joe occupied on Wednesday evening would rank right there with the best of them. I wore a red Angels shirt to root on Jered Weaver , who was making his first start since signing a five-year, $85 million extension last weekend, and the Halos. As it turned out, Weaver shut down the Pale Hose, to…

Brandon McCarthy's Breakout Season

8.září
One of the biggest success stories of the 2011 season has been Brandon McCarthy . From 2005-2009 he never posted an FIP better than 4.7, and twice had a FIP above 5. Then he spent 2010 injured and in the minors. But over 108 innings thus far this year, more than he has ever thrown in a season, he has a FIP of 2.69: a pretty incredible improvement. The immediate reasons are a big drop in walks — just 1.33 per nine fourth best for a pitcher this year with at least 100 innings — and an increase in…

Link-o-Rama

8.září
There have been a number of articles and interviews published over the past two weeks about my efforts to help Bert Blyleven get elected to the Baseball Hall of Fame. As much for my personal reference as anything else, I am linking to these stories below in chronological order. From Sid Hartman of the Minneapolis Star Tribune, Blyleven a Hall of Fame character, player , dated July 18, 2011: "I think the internet helped me a lot. I feel like a guy like Rich Lederer with baseballanalysts.com brou…

No Longer "Only the Lonely"

8.září
I wrote my first of more than 30 articles about Bert Blyleven nearly 91 months ago to the day. I titled it “ Only the Lonely: The Hall of Fame Trials and Tribulations of Bert Blyleven .” Only the Lonely was named after the 1960 song by Roy Orbison and was chosen because Blyleven was conspicuously missing from the Hall of Fame while all the pitchers ranked around him in several of the most important stats had already been inducted or were locks to be enshrined in their first year of eligibility.…

Circling the Airport and Bert

8.září
All of us returned home on Tuesday afternoon. My wife, son-in-law, and I had so much fun that we decided to extend our trip by an extra day. Well, not exactly. We had a lot of fun, and we stayed an extra day. But not by choice. Instead, our flight out of Albany International Airport on Monday was delayed to the point where we were going to miss the last connection out of Newark, where inclement weather was preventing departures and arrivals for most of the day. If we stayed overnight in Newark,…

More Photos and Stories from the Hall of Fame

8.září
We attended the Hall of Fame Awards Presentation at Doubleday Field from 4:30-5:30 p.m. ET on Saturday. The new event featured Terry Cashman singing Talkin' Baseball (Willie, Mickey, and the Duke), followed by Bill Conlin (J.G. Taylor Spink Award for meritorious contributions to baseball writing), Dave Van Horne (Ford C. Frick Award for broadcasting excellence), and Roland Hemond (Buck O'Neil Lifetime Achievement Award). Barbara, Joel, and I sat in the stands on the third base side between the …

Photos at the HOF Museum

8.září
I'm posting four photos for now. I will add more later. My wife Barbara and me standing in front of the National Baseball Hall of Fame and Museum Saturday morning. Here I am in the middle with my son-in-law Joel on the left and brother Tom on the right. Jeannie, Tom, Barbara, me, and Joel in the Plaque Gallery. I'm pointing to the spot where Blyleven will be enshrined in the Plaque Gallery forever. After spending the morning and early afternoon at the Baseball Hall of Fame and Museum, we're now…

Off to Cooperstown

8.září
My wife and I are leaving for Cooperstown this morning for the Hall of Fame induction ceremony on Sunday. We will be joined by our son-in-law Joel and my brother Tom and his wife Jeannie this weekend. If not a baseball trip of a lifetime , it should prove to be an unforgettable memory for not only the honoree himself but all of us as well. I plan on posting as many stories, links, and photos as time allows. So be sure to check back throughout the weekend to stay abreast of our trip. That's all …
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