NFL Draft 2024: Latest Odds, Expert Mocks and Predictions for Round 1

Think you know how the 2024 NFL draft will start on Thursday night?

So does everyone else—including the oddsmakers.

USC quarterback Caleb Williams is the overwhelming favorite (-20000) to be selected first overall by the Chicago Bears, per DraftKings Sportsbook.

What will happen after the Williams pick? Well, oddsmakers and analysts have opinions on that, too, and we'll explore their odds and predictions here before running through our own trade-free, first-round mock. For a refresher on this draft class, consult the latest big board from the B/R NFL Scouting Department.

Number 2 Pick

Jayden Daniels -475

Drake Maye +380

J.J. McCarthy +1100

Number 3 Pick

Drake Maye -330

J.J. McCarthy +400

Jayden Daniels +425

Marvin Harrison Jr. +1100

Number 4 Pick

Marvin Harrison Jr. -225

J.J. McCarthy +180

Drake Maye +850

Jayden Daniels +1700

Malik Nabers +1800

Quarterbacks selected in 1st Round

Over 4.5 -380

Under 4.5 +280

Wide receivers selected in 1st Round

Over 6.5 +300

Under 6.5 -400

Offensive players selected in 1st Round

Over 21.5 +150

Under 21.5 -190

Every NFL draft has a pivot point. The No. 3 pick could be exactly that for this year's talent grab.

A recent roundup of expert mocks from CBS Sports' Dave Richard, NFL.com's Charles Davis and ESPN's NFL Nation reporters show the same two picks at the top: Williams to Chicago at No. 1, Daniels to Washington at No. 2.

The first disagreement comes at pick No. 3. ESPN's Mike Reiss mocked Maye to New England in that spot. Richard also had Maye going third, but he sent the signal-caller to Minnesota after a mock trade with New England. Davis, finally, had the Patriots drafting a quarterback, but it was McCarthy instead of Maye, who fell to Minnesota at No. 11.

Richard and the ESPN crew were mostly in lockstep from picks Nos. 4 through 7. Each had Harrison, McCarthy, Nabers and Joe Alt in those spots. The only difference was McCarthy's destination: New England for Richard, Minnesota for ESPN's Kevin Seifert.

Davis agreed on Harrison to Arizona at No. 4 and Nabers to the New York Giants at No. 6, but he went different directions with the others. In his mock, Los Angeles stood pat at No. 5 and drafted Alt, while Tennessee spent the No. 7 pick on J.C. Latham.

Rounding out the top 10, all three experts finished had different takes. For Richard, he had Atlanta taking Alabama edge Dallas Turner, Jacksonville trading up to get Washington receiver Rome Odunze and the Jets taking Latham. ESPN and Davis both had Atlanta taking UCLA edge Laiatu Latu, but ESPN sent Odunze to Chicago at No. 9 and Georgia tight end Brock Bowers to the Jets at 10, while Davis had the Bears taking Turner and the Jets selecting Oregon State offensive tackle Taliese Fuaga.

1. Chicago Bears (via CAR): Caleb Williams, QB, USC

2. Washington Commanders: Jayden Daniels, QB, LSU

3. New England Patriots: J.J. McCarthy, QB, Michigan

4. Arizona Cardinals: Marvin Harrison Jr., WR, Ohio State

5. Los Angeles Chargers: Malik Nabers, WR, LSU

6. New York Giants: Drake Maye, QB, North Carolina

7. Tennessee Titans: Joe Alt, OT, Notre Dame

8. Atlanta Falcons: Dallas Turner, Edge, Alabama

9. Chicago Bears: Rome Odunze, WR, Washington

10. New York Jets: Brock Bowers, TE, Georgia

11. Minnesota Vikings: Laiatu Latu, Edge, UCLA

12. Denver Broncos: Jared Verse, Edge, Florida State

13. Las Vegas Raiders: Taliese Fuaga, OT, Oregon State

14. New Orleans Saints: Troy Fautanu, OT, Washington

15. Indianapolis Colts: Quinyon Mitchell, CB, Toledo

16. Seattle Seahawks: Terrion Arnold, CB, Alabama

17. Jacksonville Jaguars: Brian Thomas Jr., WR, LSU

18. Cincinnati Bengals: Olumuyia Fashanu, OT, Penn State

19. Los Angeles Rams: Byron Murphy II, DT, Texas

20. Pittsburgh Steelers: Jackson Powers-Johnson, C, Oregon

21. Miami Dolphins: JC Latham, OT, Alabama

22. Philadelphia Eagles: Cooper DeJean, CB, Iowa

23. Minnesota Vikings (via CLE): Michael Penix Jr., QB, Washington

24. Dallas Cowboys: Amarius Mims, OT, Georgia

25. Green Bay Packers: Kool-Aid McKinstry, CB, Alabama

26. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Chop Robinson, Edge, Penn State

27. Arizona Cardinals (via HOU): Tyler Guyton, OT, Oklahoma

28. Buffalo Bills: Adonai Mitchell, WR, Texas

29. Detroit Lions: Nate Wiggins, CB, Clemson

30. Baltimore Ravens: Darius Robinson, DL, Missouri

31. San Francisco 49ers: Ladd McConkey, WR, Georgia

32. Kansas City Chiefs: Xavier Worthy, WR, Texas

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