PGA Championship 2024: Final Predictions for Top Prize Money

Low scoring has been one of the primary themes of the 2024 PGA Championship.

Collin Morikawa and Xander Schauffele head into Sunday's final round tied at 15-under and 15 players have a score of 10-under or better.

The favorable conditions at Valhalla Golf Club set up plenty of drama for Sunday's final round because the leaderboard is so congested.

A swing of two or three birdies in a row could decide which golfer goes home with the $3.3 million winners' purse.

Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy are not part of the top 10 going into Sunday, but both players have the potential to put some pressure on the leaders with strong rounds.

The single-round men's major tournament scoring record has been tied twice in three days at Valhalla.

Schauffele opened the tournament with his second-ever 62 at a major and Shane Lowry tied that mark with an incredible round on Saturday.

Another low score or two will be out there on course and it could belong to someone currently in the top five.

Morikawa and Schauffele might have to target 20-under as the winning score because of the potential for a few low rounds from their closest competitors.

Schauffele shot a nine-under 62 on Thursday and Morikawa produced a five-under 66 and six-under 65 in the first two rounds. A low score can come from Sunday's final pairing.

If that happens, Schauffele or Morikawa should outpace the field and come away with the Wanamaker Trophy. If not, a record round could give us the second major winner of 2024.

Scheffler shot his first over-par round of the 2024 PGA Tour season on Saturday.

The No. 1 player in the world carded a double bogey at No. 2 and could not recover from his early errors.

The odds of Scheffler shooting in the 70s for a second straight day are low.

After all, we are talking about a player whose game seems automatic right now and shot a 66 on Friday after a chaotic morning in which he was arrested.

Scheffler enters Sunday with zero pressure at eight shots back of the lead. That could allow to him to play a smooth round of golf.

The Masters champion will not contend for the lead unless all of the top-five players fail to roll in birdies and comes close to the major round record.

But Scheffler can make a push to finish in the top 10 for the fifth time in his last six major starts.

Rory McIlroy was one of the buzzworthy picks to win at Valhalla coming into the week.

The 2014 PGA champion in Louisville has not had a bad week, but he has not been the best golfer on the course either.

McIlroy enters Sunday seven shots back of the leaders after a third-round 68 that slowed down near the end with two bogeys in the last five holes.

McIlroy is playing good enough golf to make a Sunday surge. He had a stretch of four straight birdies on Saturday that put him in the title conversation for about an hour.

If he can channel that play again and avoid errors on the back nine, McIlroy can creep into the top five and land his fourth top-10 finish in his last five major appearances.